Iraq: a compromise government for crisis management

Iraq: a compromise government for crisis management

**Written and disseminated among select contacts on May 11**

Iraq’s new PM, whose appointment on May 6 put an end to months of political stalemate in Iraq, faces multiple economic, social and geopolitical challenges. Before broader reform can be introduced, it will have to tackle a flailing economy, hit particularly hard by low oil prices and coronavirus. And while the new PM has the support of key political interests – the US, Iran and main parliamentary coalitions Fateh and Sairoon – he will face difficulties in trying to balance multiple interest groups and keep social protests at bay.

Daniel Moshashai | Regional Analyst Geopolitics & Infrastructure | d.moshashai@castlereagh.net

Iraq: a compromise government for crisis management

Contenders in Kuwait’s line of succession

**Written and disseminated to select contacts on March 27, 2020**

Uncertainty over the line of succession is becoming an increasingly important topic for Kuwait, where political deadlock has largely prevented the ultra-wealthy and low-populated country from enacting reforms to diversify its economy and run its public finances in a more sustainable and transparent way. In the event of the passing of its ruler, Emir Sheikh Sabah (91 this year), Crown Prince (CP) Sheikh Nawaf will take power. However, at 82 years old, his reign may be short-lived. This makes the choice for CP and next-in-line for the throne highly significant.

Courtney Freer | CA Consultant | contact@castlereagh.net

Iraq: a compromise government for crisis management

Al Zurfi’s nomination as Iraq PM first step to ending political deadlock

**Written and disseminated to select contacts on March 18, 2020**

PM-designate Adnan Al Zurfi has until mid-April to form a cabinet and gain parliamentary approval. If successful, Iraq could form a new parliament by 2021, paving the way for greater pushback against Iranian influence in the country. In the meantime, there is a risk alienated militias will step up attacks on coalition forces and Iraq’s security apparatus.

Daniel Moshashai | Regional Analyst – Geopolitics & Infrastructure | d.moshashai@castlereagh.net